Advanced Methods for Y-0 Nowcasting for Energy Balances, Energy Indicators and Individual Energy Flows and Products

The European Commission, specifically DG ESTAT Eurostat, has issued a call for tenders identified by reference EC-ESTAT/2025/OP/0058. This opportunity is titled "Advanced Methods for Y-0 Nowcasting for Energy Balances, Energy Indicators and Individual Energy Flows and Products." The main objectives are to develop refined methodologies using econometrics and machine learning to estimate energy flows and fuel balances for the ongoing year (Y-0) with a high degree of accuracy. This involves creating tools that Eurostat can utilize in future analyses.

The tender is classified under CPV code 79330000, which relates to statistical services, and has an estimated contract value of €250,000. The contract will last a maximum of 30 months. The submission deadline is set for November 24, 2025, with the publication date being October 16, 2025. An electronic submission is mandatory, and a Participant Identification Code (PIC) is required for all applicants, whether single entities or consortiums.

Eligible applicants include legal entities with technical capabilities in advanced statistical methods, econometrics, and machine learning. Although consortium participation is not explicitly mandated, it may be beneficial given the complexity of the requirements. The project is primarily targeted at organizations with substantial expertise in energy data modeling and statistical analysis.

The tender does not provide explicit success rates, often typical for EU public procurement processes, but successful bidders will receive payments based on deliverables rather than upfront funding, indicating a fully funded service contract. The award criteria will consider both quality and price, each weighted at 50%.

Overall, this procurement opportunity emphasizes developing innovative methodologies for real-time energy data analysis and will play a critical role in informing EU energy policy decisions.

The European Commission, DG ESTAT Eurostat, has published a call for tenders with the procedure identifier EC-ESTAT/2025/OP/0058. The call, titled "Advanced Methods for Y-0 Nowcasting for Energy Balances, Energy Indicators and Individual Energy Flows and Products," seeks to develop advanced methods for estimating ongoing year energy flows and fuels. The TED reference for this call is 199/2025 679386-2025.

The main objectives of this project are:

1.  To develop a refined methodology compared to the previous study based on ARIMA and ESTAT work with ARIMAX, by using suitable econometrics models and machine learning models, tuned for the different fuels, flows and countries, for estimating with high accuracy the ongoing year energy flows and fuels, primary and final energy consumption and annual balance.
2.  To prove for 4 reference years that these estimates have high accuracy for individual fuels and flows in each of the covered countries.
3.  To develop a set of tools Eurostat can use in the future to make these estimates.

The procedure type is 47396220. The estimated total value of the tender is 250,000 EUR. The TED publication date is 16/10/2025. The main classification (CPV) code is 79330000 - 79330000, which relates to services. The nature of the contract is for services, with a maximum contract duration of 30 months. The award method is based on the best price-quality ratio. No framework agreement is specified.

Key milestones include:

*  TED publication date: 16/10/2025
*  Date and time of public opening: 26/11/2025 10:00 Europe/Luxembourg
*  Deadline for receipt of tenders: 24/11/2025 16:00 Europe/Luxembourg
*  Deadline for questions: Contracting authority is not bound to reply to questions submitted after 14/11/2025 07:00 Europe/Luxembourg

Submissions must be sent exclusively via electronic submission.

The following documents are available for download:

1.  EN3. Invitation to tender OPTender specifications, published on 16/10/2025, Version 1, No translations available.
2.  EN5. Contract service contract - Final-20250721, published on 16/10/2025, Version 1, No translations available.
3.  EN6. Annex 6 Financial Tender, published on 16/10/2025, Version 1, No translations available.
4.  ENTender Specifications EC-ESTAT-2025-OP-0058, published on 16/10/2025, Version 1, No translations available.
5.  ENTender Specifications word version, published on 16/10/2025, Version 1, No translations available.

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In summary, this is a call for tenders by the European Commission, DG ESTAT Eurostat, seeking proposals for developing advanced methods for nowcasting energy balances, indicators, and flows. The project aims to refine existing methodologies by incorporating econometrics and machine learning models to improve the accuracy of energy flow estimates. The selected contractor will need to demonstrate the accuracy of their estimates over several years and develop tools that Eurostat can use in the future. The tender is worth 250,000 EUR, and the deadline for submissions is 24/11/2025. The submission must be done electronically, and potential tenderers should pay close attention to the technical requirements of the eSubmission system, including file size limits and naming conventions. A Participant Identification Code (PIC) is mandatory for participation.

Eligible Applicant Types: The content does not explicitly specify the eligible applicant types. However, since it is a call for tenders, eligible applicants are likely to be service providers, companies, research institutions, or other organizations capable of delivering the services described in the tender specifications. The requirement for a PIC (Personal Identification Code) suggests that registered organizations are the intended applicants.

Funding Type: The funding type is procurement, specifically a service contract. The contracting authority, European Commission, DG ESTAT Eurostat, is seeking services related to the development of advanced methods for energy balance nowcasting.

Consortium Requirement: The content does not explicitly state whether a single applicant or a consortium is required. However, the FAQ mentions that a PIC is mandatory for participation as a sole candidate/tenderer or as a member of a group (consortium), implying that both single applicants and consortia are eligible.

Beneficiary Scope (Geographic Eligibility): The content does not explicitly define geographic eligibility. Given that it is a European Commission tender, it is highly likely that the eligibility extends to entities within the EU and potentially the EEA, and possibly other countries depending on the specific requirements outlined in the tender documents.

Target Sector: The target sector is energy, specifically focusing on the development of advanced methods for nowcasting energy balances, energy indicators, and individual energy flows and products. It also involves econometrics and machine learning.

Mentioned Countries: No specific countries are mentioned, but the project involves developing tools for estimating energy flows and fuels for different countries, implying a broad scope, likely within the EU. The contracting authority is located in Europe/Luxembourg.

Project Stage: The project stage is development and validation. The tender aims to develop a refined methodology and tools, and to prove the accuracy of estimates for reference years, suggesting a move beyond basic research towards practical application and validation.

Funding Amount: The estimated total value of the tender is 250,000 EUR.

Application Type: The application type is an open call for tenders, with electronic submission.

Nature of Support: The beneficiaries will receive money in exchange for services rendered, as this is a service contract.

Application Stages: The number of application stages is not explicitly mentioned, but it can be inferred that there are multiple stages, including submission of the tender, evaluation, and contract award.

Success Rates: The success rates are not mentioned in the provided content.

Co-funding Requirement: The content does not explicitly mention a co-funding requirement.

Summary:

This is a call for tenders (EC-ESTAT/2025/OP/0058) issued by the European Commission, DG ESTAT Eurostat, seeking a service provider to develop advanced methods for "Y-0" nowcasting for energy balances, energy indicators, and individual energy flows and products. The project aims to refine existing methodologies using econometrics and machine learning models to estimate ongoing year energy flows and fuels with high accuracy. The selected contractor will need to demonstrate the accuracy of these estimates for four reference years and develop a set of tools that Eurostat can use in the future. The estimated total value of the contract is 250,000 EUR, and the maximum contract duration is 30 months. Submissions must be electronic, and the deadline for receipt of tenders is November 24, 2025. A PIC (Personal Identification Code) is required for participation, whether as a single tenderer or as part of a consortium. The tender documents, including the invitation to tender, contract service contract, financial tender annex, and tender specifications, are available for download. The eSubmission system supports multiple languages and encrypts uploaded documents.